Saturday, December 6, 2008

US Dollar: Retail Sales, Import Prices Fall By Most On Record

The US dollar initially spiked higher amidst the 8:30 ET release of US retail sales and import prices, as we continue to see that risk trends are dominating the forex markets. The data wasn't fundamentally bullish for US assets, but instead, the disappointing nature of the news triggered flight-to-quality.

Indeed, the Advance Retail Sales Basis fell by the a lot of aback record-keeping began in 1992 at a amount of 2.8 percent in October, which aswell apparent the fourth beeline ages of declines.

A breakdown of the address shows that shows that about every basic contracted, led by anemic auto, gasoline station, furniture, and cyberbanking sales. Given the arresting abasement of the activity markets and record-low levels of customer confidence, spending is about advancing to arrangement added in advancing months.

Meanwhile, the Acceptation Amount Basis aswell fell by the a lot of on record, traveling aback to 1989, at a amount of 4.7 percent during the ages of October acknowledgment to a attempt in article prices forth with the ample acknowledgment of the US dollar. Overall, this morning's bread-and-butter releases will alone add to belief that the Federal Reserve will cut ante further, with Credit Suisse brief basis swaps absolutely appraisement in a 50bp abridgement on December 16.

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